RE and EE Targets

• 10% or 954,000 MWh of renewable energy in power generation mix by 2035

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References:
– Energy White Paper 2014
– Brunei Darussalam’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)

• 55% of Hydro, 10% of other renewable energy* in power generation mix by 2030

*Other renewable energy: 6.5% from biomass and 3.5% from solar

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Reference:
– Country Presentation on the 2nd Working Meeting (26-28 March 2019) of ASEAN Energy Outlook 6 (AEO6)

• 23% of RE (92 Mtoe) in Primary Energy Supply* by 2025
• 31% of RE (310 Mtoe) in Primary Energy Supply** by 2050
• Implementation of B30 (30% bio-diesel blending) by 2025 in Transport, Power, Industry and Commercial Sectors
• RE installed capacity of 45 GW by 2025 and 168 GW by 2050

*Primary Energy Supply (2025): 400 Mtoe
**Primary Energy Supply (2050): 1,000 Mtoe

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References:
– Government Regulation No. 79/2014: National Energy Policy, Article 9, Page 8
– Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR) Regulation No. 12 Year 2015
– Presidential Regulation No. 22-2017 National Energy Roadmap

• 30% of RE in total energy consumptions by 2025 (not including Large Hydropower)

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Reference:
– Lao PDR’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)

• 20% of RE in the power capacity mix by 2025 (Exclude large hydro more than 100MW)
• Implementation of B10 (10% bio-diesel blending) by 2020

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References:
– Malaysia Third National Communication and Second Biennial Update Report to the UNFCCC, Page 58
– National Renewable Energy Policy & Action Plan

• 38% of Hydropower in total installed capacity* by 2030
• 9% of RE** in total installed capacity by 2030

* Including grid & off-grid
** not including small hydro

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Reference:
– Myanmar Energy Master Plan 2016

• 20 GW of installed capacity from RE by 2040
• Biodiesel 2% blending level by 2019
• Bioethanol 10% blending level by 2019

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References:
– National Renewable Energy Program (NREP) 2011-2030
– Sectoral Energy Plan and Roadmap 2017 – 2040

• Solar target of at least 2 gigawatt-peak (GWp) by 2030, and an energy storage deployment target of 200MW beyond 2025

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Reference:
– Singapore’s Energy Story

30% of RE in total final energy consumption by 2036

RE in electricity generation by 2036

• Solar 6,000 MW
• Biomass 5,570 MW
• Wind 3,002 MW
• Large Hydropower 2,906.4 MW
• Biogas (energy crop) 600 MW
• Municipal Solid Waste 500 MW
• Industrial Waste 50 MW
• Small Hydropower 376 MW

RE in heat production by 2036

• Solar 1,200 ktoe
• Biomass 22,100 ktoe
• Biogas 1,283 ktoe
• Municipal Solid Waste 495 ktoe
• other RE 10 ktoe

Biofuel Production by 2036

• Biodiesel 14 ML/day, equal to 4,404.82 ktoe
• Bioethanol 11.3 ML/day, equal to 2,103.5 ktoe
• Compressed biomethane gas 4,800 ton/day, equal to 2,023.24 ktoe
• Pyrolysis oil 170.87 ktoe

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Reference:
– Alternative Energy Development Plan 2015 – 2036

RE share in total primary energy consumption (approx.):

• 31.8% (25 Mtoe) in 2015
• 31% (37 Mtoe) in 2020
• 32.3% (62 Mtoe) in 2030
• 44% (138 Mtoe) in 2050

Share of RE-based electricity in the total national production (approx.):

• 35% (58 billion kWh) in 2015
• 38% (101 billion kWh) in 2020
• 32% (186 billion kWh) in 2030
• 43% (452 billion kWh) in 2050
  • By 2020: 9.9% of RE in total install capacity; 30.1% of pump-storage hydroelectricity in total install capacity
  • By 2025: 12.5% of RE in total install capacity; 21.1% of pump-storage hydroelectricity in total install capacity
  • By 2030: 21% of RE in total install capacity; 16.9% of pump-storage hydroelectricity in total install capacity

Increase the proportion of households with solar water-heating devices (approx.):

• 4.3% in 2015
• 12% (1.1 Mtoe) in 2020
• 26% (3.1 Mtoe) in 2030
• 50% (6 Mtoe) in 2050

Scale up biogas technologies devices (approx.):

• 4 million m3 in 2015
• 8 million m3 in 2020
• 60 million m3 in 2030
• 100 million m3 in 2050

Share of biofuels in transportation fuel demand (approx.):

• 150 ktoe in 2015
• 5% (800 ktoe) in 2020
• 13% (3.7 Mtoe) in 2030
• 25% (10.5 Mtoe) in 2050

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References:
– Decision No 2068_2015_RE Development Strategy
– Revised National Power Development Master Plan for the 2011 – 2020 Period with the Vision to 2030 – Decision 428/QD-TTg

• Reduce total energy consumption by 63% by 2035 compared to a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario.
• Reduce energy intensity (TFEC/GDP) by 45% by 2035 compared to 2005 level

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References:
– Brunei Darussalam’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)
– Energy White Paper 2014

• A total of 10% energy reduction in all sectors compared to the BAU by 2030
• Achieve less than 8% transmission and distribution losses
• 15% of energy Intensity reduction in industry sector by 2030
• 15% Increase of Bus Engine Efficiency by 2030

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Reference:
– Country Presentation on the 2nd Working Meeting (26-28 March 2019) of ASEAN Energy Outlook 6 (AEO6)

• Energy Elasticity < 1 by 2025
• 1% of energy intensity reduction per annum up up to 2025

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Reference:
– Government Regulation No. 79/2014: National Energy Policy, Article 9

• 10% of total final energy consumption reduction by 2030, compared to BAU
• 20% of total final energy consumption reduction by 2040, compared to BAU

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Reference:
– Country Presentation on the 2nd Working Meeting (26-28 March 2019) of ASEAN Energy Outlook 6 (AEO6)

• 8% of demand growth reduction by 2025, equivalent to a total of 233 GWh of electricity savings over a 10-year period from 2016 to 2025

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Reference:
– Malaysia Third National Communication and Second Biennial Update Report to the UNFCCC, Page 58

• To reduce 12% of energy consumption from Business As Usual (BAU) by 2020
• To reduce 16% of energy consumption from BAU by 2025
• To reduce 20% of energy consumption from BAU by 2030

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• 3% of reduction in energy intensity across key economic sectors
• At least 10% of energy saving on electricity from all sectors by 2040, based on 2016 BAU

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Reference:
– Energy Efficiency and Conservation Roadmap 2017 – 2040
– Philippines Energy Plan (PEP) Energy Demand and Outlook 2017 – 2040

• Energy Intensity reduction by 35% in 2030, compared to 2005 level

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Reference:
– Sustainable Singapore Blueprint

• Reduce energy intensity (TFEC/GDP) by 30% in 2036, compared to 2010

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Reference:
– S1-4 Role of Energy Efficiency in Long Term Energy Planning, APERC 20th Joint Symposium, 25 – 27 May 2016 by Dr. Twarath Sutabutr

• 5-7% of energy saving in the period of 2019-2025
• 8-10% of energy saving in the period of 2019-2030
• Reduce power loss to:
  • less than 6.5% by 2025
  • less than 6% by 2030

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Reference:
– Vietnam National Energy Efficiency Programme (VNEEP) 2019 – 2030 – Decision 280/QD